Commerzbank still expects net profit of more than €1 billion in 2022 despite additional provisions at mBank
Polish subsidiary books additional provisions for Swiss franc portfolio of the equivalent of €490 millionOperating result of Commerzbank in Q3 to be impacted by corresponding amount Bettina Orlopp: “Despite the new burden in Poland, we are maintaining our earnings target for the full year 2022.”
Commerzbank continues to expect a net result of more than €1 billion for the financial year 2022, despite a further revenue burden at its Polish subsidiary mBank. The outlook remains under the assumption that the economic consequences of the geopolitical developments do not deteriorate significantly and the uncertainties around energy supply do not require material additional provisions for potential future credit losses.
mBank had previously announced that it has booked further additional provisions for its Swiss franc portfolio of PLN2.336 billion (approximately €490 million) as a result of the announced model review. The total provisions for credit agreements indexed on foreign currencies now amount to around €1.43 billion. The additional provisions will have a corresponding negative impact on Commerzbank’s results in the third quarter which will be booked as negative revenues in “Other net income”. mBank also announced a new settlement programme to reach individual agreements with customers.
The new burden adds to the negative revenues which were already announced for the third quarter in July this year due to possible deferrals of interest and repayment of private real estate financing (“payment holidays”) introduced in Poland by the legislation. Nevertheless, Commerzbank expects a positive operating result for the third quarter for the Group as long as the uncertainties about energy supply do not require a further significant risk provisioning.
“Despite the new burden in Poland, we are maintaining our earnings target for the full year 2022 in view of the strong overall revenue development,” said Bettina Orlopp, Chief Financial Officer of Commerzbank. “With the additional provision, mBank has further scope for settlements in its Swiss franc portfolio.”
Commerzbank expects revenue burden in Poland
Negative one-off effect of €210m to €290m expected at mBank in third quarter due to legislation on “credit holidays” for private mortgages
Operating result of Commerzbank to be impacted by corresponding amount
Bettina Orlopp: “Thanks to the continued good development of our operating business, we still expect a net result of more than €1 billion for the financial year. This is under the condition that there will be no further significant deterioration in the economic environment, for example due to further shortages in the gas supply.”
Commerzbank still expects a net result of more than €1 billion for the financial year 2022 despite an expected revenue burden at its Polish subsidiary mBank. This outlook is under the condition that there will be no further significant deterioration in the economic environment and that no material additional provisions for the Swiss Franc loan portfolio at mBank will be necessary.
mBank had previously announced that, in the third quarter of 2022, it expects to book negative revenues in the range of PLN 1.0 to PLN 1.4 billion (currently approximately €210 million to €290 million) as a result of possible deferrals of interest and repayment of private real estate financing (“credit holidays”) introduced by new legislation. Commerzbank’s third quarter operating result is expected to be burdened by a corresponding amount, which will be booked as negative revenues predominantly in “Other net income from financial instruments”.
The new legislation in Poland allows private borrowers to skip monthly payments for current mortgages loans up to eight times by the end of 2023. mBank expects that 60% to 80% of currently assumed eligible borrowers will make use of this option. Commerzbank will consider legal action against this unusual measure, which is granted to all borrowers regardless of their financial position.
The “credit holidays” are part of the measures taken by the Polish Government to respond to the consequences of high inflation and rising interest rates. The Polish National Bank had recently raised the key interest rate to 6.50%. In the second quarter, Commerzbank already expects additional compulsory contributions of around €83 million at mBank for the Institutional Protection Scheme.
“mBank is one of Europe’s most modern banks and a growth engine for our Group. Unfortunately, the new legislation in Poland causes considerable one-off burdens. However, thanks to the continued good development of our operating business, we still expect a net result of more than €1 billion for the financial year. This is under the condition that there will be no further significant deterioration in the economic environment, for example due to further shortages in the gas supply,” said Bettina Orlopp, Chief Financial Officer of Commerzbank.